Karl Albrektsson vs Yuki Kondo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record66-40-9
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
75.50"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight158 lbs
Pancrase Gym SwedenTeamPancraseism Yokohama
What's at stake
Yuki Kondo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Karl Albrektsson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1534
If they lose-23→ 1486
If they win+11→ 1536
If they lose-13→ 1512
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Karl AlbrektssonYuki Kondo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karl Albrektsson52%
Yuki Kondo 48%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Karl Albrektsson a 52% favorite over Yuki Kondo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yuki Kondo's way (48%).
Yuki Kondo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1525 to 1509, a 16-point edge.
Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Yuki Kondo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Karl Albrektsson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Yuki Kondo 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.