Combat Edge Intelligence

Karl Roberson vs Khalil Rountree Jr.

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-7-0Record14-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
74"Reach76"
184 lbsWeight205 lbs
Killer B Combat Sports AcademyTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

Khalil Rountree Jr. is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Karl Roberson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Karl RobersonNow 1607
If they win+20→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1595
Khalil Rountree Jr.Now 1685
If they win+12→ 1697
If they lose-20→ 1665

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
3.88
52%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
58%
Strike defense
50%
0.72
Takedown avg.
0
40%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
43%
Takedown defense
59%
0.54
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Karl RobersonKhalil Rountree Jr.
160016501700202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
4 (44%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (33%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Khalil Rountree Jr.72%
Karl Roberson 28%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Khalil Rountree Jr. a 72% favorite over Karl Roberson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Khalil Rountree Jr. holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1607, a 78-point edge.

Karl Roberson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Karl Roberson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Khalil Rountree Jr. 64%.

Khalil Rountree Jr. carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.