Combat Edge Intelligence

Karl Williams vs Roy Boughton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Roy Boughton
us

Roy Boughton

“Black Dynamite”

14-8-0HeavyweightBFC

1594Solid

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record14-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
79"ReachTBD
247 lbsWeight253 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Karl WilliamsNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
Roy BoughtonNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
2.83
49%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.54
56%
Strike defense
52%
4.20
Takedown avg.
0
49%
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
27%
0.20
Submission avg.
3.24

Trajectory

Karl WilliamsRoy Boughton
1600165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (57%)
7 (70%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Roy Boughton55%
Karl Williams 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Roy Boughton a 55% favorite over Karl Williams in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Karl Williams's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1594), separated by just 0 points.

Karl Williams enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Karl Williams finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Roy Boughton 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.