Combat Edge Intelligence

Karol Ryšavý vs Lucas Alexander

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-10-1Record8-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'11"
-Reach73"
146 lbsWeight148 lbs
Spartakus Fight GymTeamFusion X-Cel Performance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Karol RyšavýNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Lucas AlexanderNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.23
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.83
TBD
Strike defense
71%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
57%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Karol RyšavýLucas Alexander
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
6 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (13%)
Decision
5 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Karol Ryšavý59%
Lucas Alexander 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Karol Ryšavý a 59% favorite over Lucas Alexander in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lucas Alexander's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1576), separated by just 2 points.

Lucas Alexander enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Karol Ryšavý finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Alexander 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.