Combat Edge Intelligence

Kauê Fernandes vs Mike Davis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Mike Davis
us

Mike Davis

“Beast Boy”

12-3-0LightweightUFC

1677Good

Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record12-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamFusion X-Cel

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kauê FernandesNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Mike DavisNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.41
Sig. strikes / min
0
50%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.19
29%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
2.48
TBD
Takedown accuracy
53%
0%
Takedown defense
64%
0
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Kauê FernandesMike Davis
1650202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
2 (18%)
Submission
2 (17%)
3 (27%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Kauê Fernandes60%
Mike Davis 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kauê Fernandes a 60% favorite over Mike Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1678 vs 1677), separated by just 1 points.

Kauê Fernandes enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kauê Fernandes finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Mike Davis 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.