Combat Edge Intelligence

Kazuhiro Nakamura vs Vladimir Vasilyev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-13-0Record14-5-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
185 lbsWeight187 lbs
Yoshida DojoTeamSport Club First Line

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kazuhiro NakamuraNow 1635
If they win+12→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1623
Vladimir VasilyevNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.05
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
23.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
1.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
20%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
43%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kazuhiro NakamuraVladimir Vasilyev
165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (24%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
3 (14%)
Submission
4 (29%)
13 (62%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Vladimir Vasilyev73%
Kazuhiro Nakamura 27%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Vladimir Vasilyev a 73% favorite over Kazuhiro Nakamura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1641), separated by just 6 points.

Kazuhiro Nakamura finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Vladimir Vasilyev 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.