Combat Edge Intelligence

Kazuki Tokudome vs Tim Wilde

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Tim Wilde

Tim Wilde

“The Experiment”

17-7-1LightweightCage Warriors

1603Solid

Tale of the tape

20-12-1Record17-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach75"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Paraestra HachiojiTeamRenegade MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kazuki TokudomeNow 1601
If they win+12→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1589
Tim WildeNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.26
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
2
Takedown avg.
TBD
39%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
79%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kazuki TokudomeTim Wilde
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
3 (15%)
Submission
1 (6%)
7 (35%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Tim Wilde62%
Kazuki Tokudome 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tim Wilde a 62% favorite over Kazuki Tokudome in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1603), separated by just 2 points.

Kazuki Tokudome finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Tim Wilde 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.