Combat Edge Intelligence

Kazunari Murakami vs Sascha Weinpolter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-5-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
220 lbsWeight240 lbs
UFOTeamIron Fist Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kazunari MurakamiNow 1496
If they win+17→ 1513
If they lose-15→ 1481
Sascha WeinpolterNow 1509
If they win+23→ 1532
If they lose-25→ 1484

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kazunari MurakamiSascha Weinpolter
14501500200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
3 (60%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Sascha Weinpolter78%
Kazunari Murakami 22%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 78% favorite over Kazunari Murakami in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1496 vs 1509), separated by just 13 points.

Kazunari Murakami finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Sascha Weinpolter 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.