Keigo Kunihara vs Kent Mafileo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record6-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
228 lbsWeight248 lbs
TBDTeamRise Boxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1597
If they lose-24→ 1549
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1483 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Keigo KuniharaKent Mafileo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Keigo Kunihara57%
Kent Mafileo 43%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Keigo Kunihara a 57% favorite over Kent Mafileo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kent Mafileo's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1577), separated by just 4 points.
Keigo Kunihara enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Keigo Kunihara finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Kent Mafileo 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.