Combat Edge Intelligence

Keiichiro Nakamura vs Martin Buschkamp

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record9-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"Reach40,0"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
EXFIGHTTeamPlanet Eater

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keiichiro NakamuraNow 1672
If they win+24→ 1696
If they lose-24→ 1648
Martin BuschkampNow 1673
If they win+24→ 1697
If they lose-24→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.22
Sig. strikes / min
0
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
66%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
83%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Keiichiro NakamuraMartin Buschkamp
15501600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (88%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (78%)
1 (13%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Keiichiro Nakamura70%
Martin Buschkamp 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Keiichiro Nakamura a 70% favorite over Martin Buschkamp in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Martin Buschkamp's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1673), separated by just 1 points.

Keiichiro Nakamura enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Martin Buschkamp enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Keiichiro Nakamura finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Martin Buschkamp 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.