Combat Edge Intelligence

Keiichiro Nakamura vs Sheymon Moraes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record15-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70"Reach72,0"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
EXFIGHTTeamBlack House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keiichiro NakamuraNow 1672
If they win+24→ 1696
If they lose-24→ 1648
Sheymon MoraesNow 1671
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.22
Sig. strikes / min
3
43%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
66%
Strike defense
64%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
83%
Takedown defense
54%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Keiichiro NakamuraSheymon Moraes
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (88%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (7%)
1 (13%)
Decision
7 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Keiichiro Nakamura70%
Sheymon Moraes 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Keiichiro Nakamura a 70% favorite over Sheymon Moraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1671), separated by just 1 points.

Keiichiro Nakamura enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Keiichiro Nakamura finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Sheymon Moraes 53%.

Sheymon Moraes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.