Combat Edge Intelligence

Keiichiro Nakamura vs Steven Nguyen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record10-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'11"
70"Reach73"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
EXFIGHTTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keiichiro NakamuraNow 1672
If they win+24→ 1696
If they lose-24→ 1648
Steven NguyenNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.22
Sig. strikes / min
7.15
43%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.36
66%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
0.28
0%
Takedown accuracy
100%
83%
Takedown defense
85%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Keiichiro NakamuraSteven Nguyen
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (88%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (30%)
1 (13%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Keiichiro Nakamura63%
Steven Nguyen 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Keiichiro Nakamura a 63% favorite over Steven Nguyen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1670), separated by just 2 points.

Keiichiro Nakamura enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Keiichiro Nakamura finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Steven Nguyen 80%.

Steven Nguyen carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.