Combat Edge Intelligence

Keisuke Sasu vs Keweny Lopes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-1Record12-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
69"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Master JapanTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keisuke SasuNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Keweny LopesNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.76
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
3.76
Takedown avg.
TBD
40%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
62%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.88
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Keisuke SasuKeweny Lopes
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
4 (29%)
Submission
1 (8%)
5 (36%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Keisuke Sasu and Keweny Lopes within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1613), separated by just 2 points.

Keisuke Sasu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Keweny Lopes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Keisuke Sasu finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Keweny Lopes 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.