Combat Edge Intelligence

Keith Berry vs Robert Pukač

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Keith Berry
us

Keith Berry

“KO Kid”

17-15-1MiddleweightGC

1529Average

Tale of the tape

17-15-1Record21-14-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight175 lbs
Reign MMATeamOctagon Fighting Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keith BerryNow 1529
If they win+12→ 1541
If they lose-12→ 1517
Robert PukačNow 1533
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Keith BerryRobert Pukač
145015001550201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (75%)
KO/TKO
5 (25%)
3 (19%)
Submission
4 (20%)
1 (6%)
Decision
11 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Pukač63%
Keith Berry 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Pukač a 63% favorite over Keith Berry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1533), separated by just 4 points.

Keith Berry enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Keith Berry finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Robert Pukač 45%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.