Combat Edge Intelligence

Keith Wisniewski vs Themba Gorimbo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-15-1Record14-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Keith WisniewskiNow 1606
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594
Themba GorimboNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.32
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
52%
Strike accuracy
61%
4.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.32
43%
Strike defense
52%
1.57
Takedown avg.
5.07
40%
Takedown accuracy
66%
79%
Takedown defense
73%
0.26
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Keith WisniewskiThemba Gorimbo
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (21%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
15 (54%)
Submission
6 (43%)
7 (25%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Themba Gorimbo70%
Keith Wisniewski 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Themba Gorimbo a 70% favorite over Keith Wisniewski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1608), separated by just 2 points.

Keith Wisniewski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Themba Gorimbo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Keith Wisniewski finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Themba Gorimbo 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.