Combat Edge Intelligence

Kenji Osawa vs Mando Gutierrez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-11-2Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
134 lbsWeight135 lbs
Wajutsu Keishukai HeartsTeamMurcielago MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kenji OsawaNow 1597
If they win+12→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1585
Mando GutierrezNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.93
Sig. strikes / min
0.80
39%
Strike accuracy
75%
4.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.33
63%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
1
0%
Takedown accuracy
100%
68%
Takedown defense
40%
0.75
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Kenji OsawaMando Gutierrez
160020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
2 (10%)
Submission
6 (67%)
14 (70%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Mando Gutierrez63%
Kenji Osawa 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mando Gutierrez a 63% favorite over Kenji Osawa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.

Kenji Osawa finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Mando Gutierrez 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.