Combat Edge Intelligence

Kenneth Cross vs Sage Northcutt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-5-0Record12-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
71"Reach71,5"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Michigan Top TeamTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kenneth CrossNow 1665
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
Sage NorthcuttNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.20
Sig. strikes / min
3.58
58%
Strike accuracy
52%
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.96
55%
Strike defense
59%
1
Takedown avg.
1.81
13%
Takedown accuracy
35%
67%
Takedown defense
42%
0
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Kenneth CrossSage Northcutt
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (47%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
5 (29%)
Submission
4 (33%)
4 (24%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Kenneth Cross53%
Sage Northcutt 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kenneth Cross a 53% favorite over Sage Northcutt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1664), separated by just 1 points.

Kenneth Cross finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Sage Northcutt 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.