Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Borjas vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kevin Borjas
pe

Kevin Borjas

“El Gallo Negro”

11-5-0FlyweightUFC

1636Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record19-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
68"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pitbull Martial Arts CenterTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin BorjasNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620
Zhalgas ZhumagulovNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
5.24
43%
Strike accuracy
43%
5.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.86
50%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
1.30
0%
Takedown accuracy
19%
73%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Kevin BorjasZhalgas Zhumagulov
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
9 (47%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (5%)
3 (27%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kevin Borjas and Zhalgas Zhumagulov within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1639), separated by just 3 points.

Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Kevin Borjas finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Zhalgas Zhumagulov 53%.

Kevin Borjas and Zhalgas Zhumagulov share 1 common opponent: Joshua Van.

Kevin Borjas carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Joshua Van
LossDecision - Split · 2023