Kevin Burns vs Takashi Sato
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kevin BurnsTakashi Sato
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Burns52%
Takashi Sato 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Burns a 52% favorite over Takashi Sato in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1579), separated by just 1 points.
Takashi Sato enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Kevin Burns finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Takashi Sato 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.