Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Burns vs Wiktor Zalewski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kevin Burns
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Kevin Burns

“The Fire”

12-7-0WelterweightVFC

1580Solid

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamWCA Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin BurnsNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
Wiktor ZalewskiNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.74
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0.28
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
48%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.85
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kevin BurnsWiktor Zalewski
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
7 (88%)
8 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (8%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Wiktor Zalewski60%
Kevin Burns 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Wiktor Zalewski a 60% favorite over Kevin Burns in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Burns's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1579), separated by just 1 points.

Kevin Burns finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Wiktor Zalewski 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.