Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Natividad vs Liam Gittins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Liam Gittins

Liam Gittins

“Nightmare”

13-6-0BantamweightPFL

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record13-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
70"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Arizona Combat SportsTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin NatividadNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Liam GittinsNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
34%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
3.66
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
83%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kevin NatividadLiam Gittins
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
1 (11%)
Submission
3 (23%)
3 (33%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Liam Gittins53%
Kevin Natividad 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Liam Gittins a 53% favorite over Kevin Natividad in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1607), separated by just 3 points.

Kevin Natividad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Liam Gittins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kevin Natividad finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Liam Gittins 77%.

Kevin Natividad carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.