Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Natividad vs Louis Jourdain

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
70"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Arizona Combat SportsTeamBTT Canada

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin NatividadNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Louis JourdainNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
7.32
34%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
48%
Strike defense
54%
3.66
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
83%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
1.41

Trajectory

Kevin NatividadLouis Jourdain
15501600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
1 (11%)
Submission
2 (22%)
3 (33%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kevin Natividad and Louis Jourdain within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1609), separated by just 5 points.

Kevin Natividad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Louis Jourdain enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Kevin Natividad finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Louis Jourdain 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.