Kevin Robledo vs Paul Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record10-9-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5′6″Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
TBDTeamAmerican Top Team Orlando
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-24→ 1535
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1492 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kevin RobledoPaul Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Robledo59%
Paul Rodriguez 41%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Robledo a 59% favorite over Paul Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1555), separated by just 4 points.
Kevin Robledo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kevin Robledo finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Paul Rodriguez 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.