Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Roddy vs Lorenzo de Nigris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kevin Roddy
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Kevin Roddy

“K-Rod”

15-16-1FeatherweightBFC

1495Average

Tale of the tape

15-16-1Record2-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Pellegrino MMATeamLigorio Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin RoddyNow 1495
If they win+12→ 1507
If they lose-12→ 1483
Lorenzo de NigrisNow 1501
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kevin RoddyLorenzo de Nigris
150015502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
12 (80%)
Submission
2 (100%)
3 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Lorenzo de Nigris62%
Kevin Roddy 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo de Nigris a 62% favorite over Kevin Roddy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1495 vs 1501), separated by just 6 points.

Kevin Roddy finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.