Kevin Roddy vs Matteo Martignoni
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-16-1Record3-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pellegrino MMATeamAurora MMA
What's at stake
Matteo Martignoni is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Kevin Roddy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1508
If they lose-11→ 1484
If they win+23→ 1535
If they lose-25→ 1487
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kevin RoddyMatteo Martignoni
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matteo Martignoni62%
Kevin Roddy 38%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Matteo Martignoni a 62% favorite over Kevin Roddy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Matteo Martignoni holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1512 to 1495, a 17-point edge.
Kevin Roddy finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Matteo Martignoni 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.