Combat Edge Intelligence

Kevin Souza vs Eduardo Garagorri

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kevin Souza
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Kevin Souza

“Kevin”

17-7-0FeatherweightSBC

1582Solid

Tale of the tape

17-7-0Record15-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'10"
44.00Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
DS TeamTeamFronteira Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kevin SouzaNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Eduardo GaragorriNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1629 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.65
Sig. strikes / min
3.42
45%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.36
58%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
0.48
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
50%
Takedown defense
62%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kevin SouzaEduardo Garagorri
1550160020142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

14 (82%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
1 (6%)
Submission
6 (40%)
2 (12%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Souza61%
Eduardo Garagorri 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Souza a 61% favorite over Eduardo Garagorri in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eduardo Garagorri's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1583), separated by just 1 points.

Kevin Souza finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Eduardo Garagorri 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.