Combat Edge Intelligence

Khalil Rountree Jr. vs Kiyoshi Tamura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record32-13-3
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height5'11"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight195 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamU-File Camp

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Khalil Rountree Jr.Now 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Kiyoshi TamuraNow 1690
If they win+12→ 1702
If they lose-12→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.88
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
59%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.09
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Khalil Rountree Jr.Kiyoshi Tamura
165017002007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
5 (19%)
0 (0%)
Submission
13 (50%)
5 (36%)
Decision
8 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Khalil Rountree Jr.65%
Kiyoshi Tamura 35%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Khalil Rountree Jr. a 65% favorite over Kiyoshi Tamura in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kiyoshi Tamura's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1690), separated by just 5 points.

Kiyoshi Tamura enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Khalil Rountree Jr. finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Kiyoshi Tamura 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.