Combat Edge Intelligence

Khalil Rountree Jr. vs Renato Sobral

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record37-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamBabalu's Iron Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Khalil Rountree Jr.Now 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Renato SobralNow 1687
If they win+12→ 1699
If they lose-12→ 1675

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.88
Sig. strikes / min
2.01
41%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
50%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
2.97
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
59%
Takedown defense
65%
0.09
Submission avg.
3.16

Trajectory

Khalil Rountree Jr.Renato Sobral
16501700201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
9 (24%)
0 (0%)
Submission
15 (41%)
5 (36%)
Decision
13 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Khalil Rountree Jr.70%
Renato Sobral 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Khalil Rountree Jr. a 70% favorite over Renato Sobral in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Renato Sobral's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1687), separated by just 2 points.

Renato Sobral enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Khalil Rountree Jr. finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Renato Sobral 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.