Kiefer Crosbie vs Nick Serra
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record7-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
If they win+24→ 1586
If they lose-24→ 1538
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kiefer CrosbieNick Serra
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kiefer Crosbie53%
Nick Serra 47%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Kiefer Crosbie a 53% favorite over Nick Serra in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1562), separated by just 5 points.
Kiefer Crosbie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kiefer Crosbie finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Nick Serra 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.