Combat Edge Intelligence

Kiefer Crosbie vs Ryan McGillivray

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record12-6-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
70"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kiefer CrosbieNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Ryan McGillivrayNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.61
Sig. strikes / min
1.27
52%
Strike accuracy
21%
6.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.20
51%
Strike defense
52%
0.69
Takedown avg.
0
40%
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
44%
0.34
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kiefer CrosbieRyan McGillivray
155016002010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
2 (20%)
Submission
10 (83%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Kiefer Crosbie52%
Ryan McGillivray 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Kiefer Crosbie a 52% favorite over Ryan McGillivray in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1562), separated by just 5 points.

Kiefer Crosbie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kiefer Crosbie finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Ryan McGillivray 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.