Combat Edge Intelligence

Klidson Abreu vs Magomed Tuchalov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record6-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
74,0"Reach-
258 lbsWeight205 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamDagestan Fighter

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Klidson AbreuNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Magomed TuchalovNow 1648
If they win+24→ 1672
If they lose-24→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.05
Sig. strikes / min
0
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
0.64
Takedown avg.
TBD
20%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Klidson AbreuMagomed Tuchalov
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
10 (63%)
Submission
1 (17%)
2 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Tuchalov70%
Klidson Abreu 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Tuchalov a 70% favorite over Klidson Abreu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1648), separated by just 2 points.

Magomed Tuchalov enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Klidson Abreu finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Tuchalov 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.