Combat Edge Intelligence

Klidson Abreu vs Marcel Fortuna

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record10-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74,0"Reach42,0"
258 lbsWeight205 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamRalph Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Klidson AbreuNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Marcel FortunaNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.05
Sig. strikes / min
3.83
41%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.52
56%
Strike defense
65%
0.64
Takedown avg.
0.45
20%
Takedown accuracy
8%
80%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

Klidson AbreuMarcel Fortuna
165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
10 (63%)
Submission
5 (50%)
2 (13%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Klidson Abreu52%
Marcel Fortuna 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Klidson Abreu a 52% favorite over Marcel Fortuna in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1642), separated by just 4 points.

Klidson Abreu finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Marcel Fortuna 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.