Combat Edge Intelligence

Konrad Rusiński vs Matt Horwich

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record30-25-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight186 lbs
Oleksiejczuk TeamTeamLegends MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Konrad RusińskiNow 1564
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
Matt HorwichNow 1567
If they win+12→ 1579
If they lose-12→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Konrad RusińskiMatt Horwich
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
6 (20%)
4 (50%)
Submission
21 (70%)
2 (25%)
Decision
3 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Konrad Rusiński66%
Matt Horwich 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Konrad Rusiński a 66% favorite over Matt Horwich in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Horwich's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1567), separated by just 3 points.

Matt Horwich enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Konrad Rusiński finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Matt Horwich 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.