Combat Edge Intelligence

Koyomi Matsushima vs Ricky Turcios

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record12-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReach71"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Gaio GymTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Koyomi MatsushimaNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Ricky TurciosNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
47%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.72
60%
Strike defense
52%
9
Takedown avg.
0.91
53%
Takedown accuracy
20%
33%
Takedown defense
44%
0
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Koyomi MatsushimaRicky Turcios
16002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
1 (7%)
Submission
1 (8%)
5 (36%)
Decision
8 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricky Turcios60%
Koyomi Matsushima 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Turcios a 60% favorite over Koyomi Matsushima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1592), separated by just 4 points.

Ricky Turcios enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Koyomi Matsushima finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Turcios 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.