Combat Edge Intelligence

Kristian Rothaermel vs Trevor Makengo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-3-0Record2-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight239 lbs
TBDTeamC-MAC

What's at stake

Trevor Makengo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Kristian Rothaermel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kristian RothaermelNow 1511
If they win+25→ 1536
If they lose-23→ 1488
Trevor MakengoNow 1531
If they win+23→ 1554
If they lose-25→ 1506

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.75
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
41%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kristian RothaermelTrevor Makengo
1500155020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
2 (50%)
Submission
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Trevor Makengo60%
Kristian Rothaermel 40%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Makengo a 60% favorite over Kristian Rothaermel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Trevor Makengo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1511, a 20-point edge.

Kristian Rothaermel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.