Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Bochniak vs Makwan Amirkhani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record20-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
38,5"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Broadway Jiu-JitsuTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyle BochniakNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Makwan AmirkhaniNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.63
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
31%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
58%
Strike defense
46%
1.14
Takedown avg.
3.96
15%
Takedown accuracy
15%
63%
Takedown defense
36%
0
Submission avg.
1.05

Trajectory

Kyle BochniakMakwan Amirkhani
16001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
2 (18%)
Submission
14 (70%)
7 (64%)
Decision
5 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Makwan Amirkhani52%
Kyle Bochniak 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Makwan Amirkhani a 52% favorite over Kyle Bochniak in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kyle Bochniak's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1614), separated by just 0 points.

Kyle Bochniak enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Makwan Amirkhani enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kyle Bochniak finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Makwan Amirkhani 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.