Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Noblitt vs Lazar Todev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lazar Todev
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Lazar Todev

“The Punisher”

14-7-0HeavyweightOKMMA

1664Good

Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record14-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
243 lbsWeight241 lbs
Glory MMA & FitnessTeamTiger Sportakademie

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyle NoblittNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Lazar TodevNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kyle NoblittLazar Todev
1600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
4 (40%)
Submission
1 (7%)
3 (30%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Lazar Todev60%
Kyle Noblitt 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lazar Todev a 60% favorite over Kyle Noblitt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kyle Noblitt's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1664), separated by just 0 points.

Kyle Noblitt enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Lazar Todev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kyle Noblitt finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Lazar Todev 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.