Kyle Noke vs Omari Akhmedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-1Record24-8-1
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
76,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Omari Akhmedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Kyle Noke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1655
If they lose-9→ 1631
If they win+9→ 1724
If they lose-15→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kyle NokeOmari Akhmedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Omari Akhmedov83%
Kyle Noke 17%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Omari Akhmedov a 83% favorite over Kyle Noke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Omari Akhmedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1640, a 75-point edge.
Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kyle Noke finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Omari Akhmedov 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.