Kyle Noke vs Peter Sobotta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-1Record17-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
76,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamPlanet Eater
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kyle NokePeter Sobotta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Peter Sobotta63%
Kyle Noke 37%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Peter Sobotta a 63% favorite over Kyle Noke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1652), separated by just 12 points.
Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Peter Sobotta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kyle Noke finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Peter Sobotta 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.