Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Prepolec vs Roger Bowling

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-10-0Record12-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
160 lbsWeight155 lbs
Maximum Training CentreTeamTeam Vision

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyle PrepolecNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Roger BowlingNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
3.90
36%
Strike accuracy
47%
5.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.86
49%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
3.09
0%
Takedown accuracy
44%
40%
Takedown defense
27%
0
Submission avg.
0.88

Trajectory

Kyle PrepolecRoger Bowling
1600201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
4 (22%)
Submission
2 (17%)
4 (22%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyle Prepolec53%
Roger Bowling 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Prepolec a 53% favorite over Roger Bowling in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roger Bowling's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1578), separated by just 1 points.

Kyle Prepolec enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kyle Prepolec finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Roger Bowling 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.