Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Prepolec vs Roger Huerta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Roger Huerta
us

Roger Huerta

“El Matador”

24-13-1LightweightBFC

1579Solid

Tale of the tape

18-10-0Record24-13-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
160 lbsWeight155 lbs
Maximum Training CentreTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyle PrepolecNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Roger HuertaNow 1579
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
3.64
36%
Strike accuracy
37%
5.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.33
49%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
2.13
0%
Takedown accuracy
46%
40%
Takedown defense
53%
0
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Kyle PrepolecRoger Huerta
16002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
4 (22%)
Submission
5 (23%)
4 (22%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyle Prepolec63%
Roger Huerta 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Prepolec a 63% favorite over Roger Huerta in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roger Huerta's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1579), separated by just 2 points.

Kyle Prepolec enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Roger Huerta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Kyle Prepolec finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Roger Huerta 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.