Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Prepolec vs Shay Ingram

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Shay Ingram

Shay Ingram

“The Fridge”

5-1-0LightweightCWFC

1582Solid

Tale of the tape

18-10-0Record5-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"Reach-
160 lbsWeight155 lbs
Maximum Training CentreTeamTeam Renegade BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyle PrepolecNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Shay IngramNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
49%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
40%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kyle PrepolecShay Ingram
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
4 (22%)
Submission
1 (20%)
4 (22%)
Decision
3 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Shay Ingram64%
Kyle Prepolec 36%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Shay Ingram a 64% favorite over Kyle Prepolec in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1582), separated by just 5 points.

Kyle Prepolec enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kyle Prepolec finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Shay Ingram 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.