Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyle Prepolec vs Stephen Ledbetter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-10-0Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
160 lbsWeight155 lbs
Maximum Training CentreTeamHardcore Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyle PrepolecNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Stephen LedbetterNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
1.20
36%
Strike accuracy
38%
5.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.60
49%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
5
0%
Takedown accuracy
45%
40%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kyle PrepolecStephen Ledbetter
155016002010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (22%)
Submission
3 (43%)
4 (22%)
Decision
4 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyle Prepolec52%
Stephen Ledbetter 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Prepolec a 52% favorite over Stephen Ledbetter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1577), separated by just 0 points.

Kyle Prepolec enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kyle Prepolec finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Stephen Ledbetter 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.