Combat Edge Intelligence

Kyosuke Sasaki vs Ondřej Raška

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-7-4Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'7"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
183 lbsWeight185 lbs
U-File CampTeamJetsaam Gym Brno

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kyosuke SasakiNow 1457
If they win+16→ 1473
If they lose-16→ 1441
Ondřej RaškaNow 1466
If they win+16→ 1482
If they lose-16→ 1450

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kyosuke SasakiOndřej Raška
1450150020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
2 (67%)
Submission
5 (42%)
1 (33%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ondřej Raška66%
Kyosuke Sasaki 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 66% favorite over Kyosuke Sasaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1457 vs 1466), separated by just 9 points.

Kyosuke Sasaki finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ondřej Raška 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.