Combat Edge Intelligence

Lance Benoist vs Rodrigo Sezinando

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record8-2-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"HeightTBD
TBDReach71"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
St. Charles MMATeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lance BenoistNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
Rodrigo SezinandoNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.68
Sig. strikes / min
0
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
1.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
62%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lance BenoistRodrigo Sezinando
15501600165020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
4 (57%)
Submission
2 (29%)
2 (29%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Lance Benoist and Rodrigo Sezinando within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1621), separated by just 1 points.

Lance Benoist finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Sezinando 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.