Combat Edge Intelligence

Lance Lawrence vs Rodolfo Rubio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record19-13-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
TBDTeamEntram Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lance LawrenceNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Rodolfo RubioNow 1551
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.87
Sig. strikes / min
1.13
50%
Strike accuracy
36%
9.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1
25%
Strike defense
63%
1
Takedown avg.
2
100%
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lance LawrenceRodolfo Rubio
1550202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
5 (63%)
Submission
13 (68%)
2 (25%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Lance Lawrence66%
Rodolfo Rubio 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Lance Lawrence a 66% favorite over Rodolfo Rubio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1551), separated by just 4 points.

Lance Lawrence finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Rubio 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.