Lavar Johnson vs Matheus Scheffel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-10-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
253 lbsWeight262 lbs
Pro BuhaweTeamCM System
What's at stake
Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Lavar Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1505
If they lose-14→ 1473
If they win+11→ 1532
If they lose-13→ 1508
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lavar JohnsonMatheus Scheffel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matheus Scheffel61%
Lavar Johnson 39%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 61% favorite over Lavar Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1487, a 34-point edge.
Lavar Johnson enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Lavar Johnson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Scheffel 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.