Lazar Todev vs Mario Sperry
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-0Record13-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
241 lbsWeight210 lbs
Tiger SportakademieTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lazar TodevMario Sperry
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lazar Todev66%
Mario Sperry 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Lazar Todev a 66% favorite over Mario Sperry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1659), separated by just 5 points.
Lazar Todev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Lazar Todev finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Mario Sperry 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.