Combat Edge Intelligence

Lazar Todev vs Shane del Rosario

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lazar Todev
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Lazar Todev

“The Punisher”

14-7-0HeavyweightOKMMA

1664Good

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record11-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
241 lbsWeight246 lbs
Tiger SportakademieTeamTeam Oyama

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lazar TodevNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Shane del RosarioNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
60%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.97
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.20
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
17%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.41

Trajectory

Lazar TodevShane del Rosario
1600165017002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
1 (7%)
Submission
3 (27%)
4 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Lazar Todev66%
Shane del Rosario 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Lazar Todev a 66% favorite over Shane del Rosario in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1656), separated by just 8 points.

Lazar Todev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Shane del Rosario enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Lazar Todev finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Shane del Rosario 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.