Combat Edge Intelligence

Lazaro Dayron vs Tommy Morrisson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record11-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
N/AReach67.1"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lazaro DayronNow 1687
If they win+24→ 1711
If they lose-24→ 1663
Tommy MorrissonNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lazaro DayronTommy Morrisson
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
1 (13%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (50%)
Decision
9 (82%)

Combat Edge model read

Tommy Morrisson62%
Lazaro Dayron 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tommy Morrisson a 62% favorite over Lazaro Dayron in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1688), separated by just 1 points.

Lazaro Dayron enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Tommy Morrisson enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Lazaro Dayron finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Morrisson 18%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.